Tuesday, August 9, 2016

GI's 2016 Pre-Season Special

2016 AA Varsity

Ranking The Conferences

1. Western Conference: Top to bottom the Western Conference is filled with very competitive teams/programs.   A great Carson Graham program moved on to AAA ball, but was replaced by a Seaquam program that dominated at JV last year and tied for first in the AAA Pacific.  Barsby has won the conference title six years running and that streak is in definite jeopardy this year as Windsor has its finest team in years along with Ballenas and Nanaimo District.  Hugh Boyd is always tough and Frank Hurt is no slouch either.  Every week this year will count big-time out West.

2. Eastern Conference: Langley has grown roots and has emerged as a powerhouse provincially.  A lot of community players have found their way to the school and they are a quantum leap better than the team that played in last year's semi-final.  Not far off is the Abbottsford Panthers and the G.W. Graham Grizzlies.  The top three in the East can chuck the football at an elite level and all three have potent running games.  Abbey and Graham in fact, may have the number one and two running backs in BC this year.  Holy Cross is not far out of the mix and as a program, has demonstrated that it is on the rise the past two years.  Pitt Meadows and Robert Bateman are a drop off, but only in terms of depth.  These two squads compete hard every week and are coached

3. Okanagen Conference: There is Vernon and then there is the rest.  The Panthers are a provincial level powerhouse and are in for a breakthrough year sooner rather than later in terms of playing in the big game.  The rise of the Vernon program is good for the rest of the division as the rest of the pack has not been complacent in terms of raising their game to challenge the front-runner.   This conference is headed up as opposed to down.

4. Northern Conference: The rivalry for decades in just about any sport has been between PGSS and Duchess Park up North.  This is true for football of late as the Condors and Polars trade gridiron blows for poll position in the playoffs.   Prince George has been hit hard with graduation, but it has a lot of program momentum coming off of a BCSSFA playoff win last fall.   Duchess has the depth this year with a big group moving up to varsity play.   These two should battle hard in league play and will likely play for top rail entering the playoffs.  The rest of the pack will scrap it out with Nechako Valley always a threat to make waves when they are in an up-cycle in terms of roster depth.


Projected Conference Standings

Western Conference

1. Seaquam
2. Barsby
3. Windsor
4. Ballenas
5. Nanaimo District
6. Hugh Boyd
7. Frank Hurt

Eastern Conference

1. Langley
2. Abbottsford
3. G.W. Graham
4. Holy Cross
5. Pitt Meadows
6. Robert Bateman

Okanagen Conference

1. Vernon
2. South-Kamloops
3. Westsyde
4. Clarence Fulton
5. Valleyview
6. W.L. Seaton

Northern Conference

1. Duchess Park
2. Prince George
3. Kelly Road
4. Nechako Valley
5. College Heights
7. D.P. Todd
6. Correlieu



GI's Pre-Season Top Ten

Well gang, this may be the greatest assemblage of high quality AA football squads in a top ten raking since well, ever.  The parity in the league is indeed something to behold.  When the final whistle blows in BC Place, any one of these teams could be celebrating!  The kicker is, someone from outside the top ten could make a run for all the marbles too!

What's it going to take to succeed in 2016?  Health down the stretch for sure.  The West and the East are going to meat-grinders.  Particularly the West as there is by far, a heavier run emphasis and than their Eastern rivals. The teams that get out of league play in to the playoffs that are not completely beat to hec, will be in a good place when the "Gales of November Come Calling".

1. Langley Saints: Various sources report that there has been a massive move of  regional community ball players to the Langley program.  This is a burgeoning AA super-power in the making as many key factors are in place.  The school is located in prime football country: affordable housing for new families; lots of grass roots ball at the younger ages; superb facility and of course, a darn good coaching staff.  Things are only headed up for this program.  Check-out the JV roster on the BCSSFA site.  Big numbers, big bodies and the table is set for a lot of future re-loads.  Last year's playoff success was no fluke and look for these guys to pick-up where they left off with provincial calibre talent across the board.

2. Seaquam SeaHawks: The "Hawks" are similar to Langley in terms of the calibre of talent that is embedding itself at all levels of the program.  The success of the G.8 squad and JV squad bode well for these guys.  There is solid coaching throughout and those moving-up to varsity will be welcomed by a tough, talented veteran crew who played themselves to the top of the AAA Pacific conference last season.  The school size is at the limits of the AA-AAA threshold and new additions from abroad turbocharge this already deep talent pool.

3. Abbottsford Panthers: Abbottsford's ascendancy to the title game last year was an example of years of program building reaching fruition.  This group was by no means a one trick pony en-route to the big dance last year and much talent remains to welcome an outstanding group of JV's moving-up.  I think that the offensive balance in terms of run-pass is even better than the 2015 group.  A very strong conference will produce a fire-hardened football spear by season's end.

4. G.W. Graham Grizzlies: Graham's offense is going to score points by the bushel in 2016.  It is a toss-up between this crew and Abbey in terms of who is in possession of the top passing game in BC this year.  The Grizzlies are again huge up-front and have a monster running-back to sobre-up any defense that thinks it is going put all its eggs in pass defense.  The Grizzly defense will be a reflection of its offensive self.  Depth may be the only question mark here.

5. John Barsby Bulldogs: The "Dawgs" are in a massive re-build this year.  The only group even remotely returning intact is up front on the offensive line.  Every other position group on both sides of the ball is new.  This said, there is talent on the roster and the potential for some lethality by early-mid season.  The opening two games vs AAA Mt. Douglas and the Interior monster known as the Vernon Panthers will lead up to a big opening divisional tilt vs Ballenas.  Sweat, blood and ice are on the menu this September.

Vernon Panthers: The Panthers reload in 16 in their quest for not only another divisional title, but a playoff run that ends in a Subway Bowl appearance. This group is uniquely equipped to do just that as they are loaded across the board.  A week two road trip to Barsby sets the stage for great things to follow.

7. Windsor Dukes:  Seventh ranking for Windsor is probably right as of week one or two.  The Dukes, like clockwork  start a bit slow every year and then gain massive traction around week three. Perfect timing it would seem as that is when divisional play starts.  This program historically gets better, more consistently week-to-week than almost anyone else in AA ball.  This will be frightening in 2016 as for the first time in years, there is a considerable amount of varsity talent that has spent at least two years in the system.  Windsor is my not so Dark Horse pick to win it's division and possibly run the post-season table.

8. Ballenas Whalers: If the Whalers stay healthy in 2016 they will be exceptional. They are BIG up front and have all the pieces to play with any program in BC.  This group of athletes has run deep in the JV playoffs the past several years and as a group, knows how to play in the big games as they arise.  Ballenas will challenge as well as any group in their division for top rail come week nine.

9. Nanaimo District Islanders: The Islanders are big, deep in talent/experience and have a superb qb/receiver group on their hands.  By the time this team hits divisional play, it will be on a roll, mark my words.  If the defense plays on par with what the offense is capable of producing, look out folks!

10. Holy Cross Crusaders: These guys can pound the ball this year and that mind-set will reverberate and be mirrored defensively.  I think they will be able to get their opponents in to one dimensional games more often than not.  The ability to defend the pass and maximize team speed will be the key to divisional success in the very competitive East.  Don't count em out.

Hey Gang: Here is a gift for all the football uber-geeks out there: http://www.goarmyedge.com/




Saturday, June 18, 2016

SFU Camp July, 2016

SFU Football Camp!

http://athletics.sfu.ca/sports/2015/5/1/Football%20Camp.aspx

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Sunday, December 13, 2015

Clauswitz and Ball

Clauswitz


http://www.clausewitz.com/readings/OnWar1873/BK3ch05.html 




"This spirit can only be generated from two sources, and only by these two conjointly: the first is a succession of wars and great victories; the other is, an activity of the army carried sometimes to the highest pitch. Only by these, does the soldier learn to know his powers. The more a general is in the habit of demanding from his troops, the surer he is, that his demands will be answered. The soldier is as proud of overcoming toil, as he is of surmounting danger. Therefore it is only in the soil of incessant activity and exertion that the germ will thrive, but also only in the sunshine of victory. Once it becomes a strong tree, it will stand against the fiercest storms of misfortune and defeat, and even against the indolent inactivity of peace, at least for a time. It can therefore only be created in war, and under great generals, but no doubt it may last at least for several generations, even under generals of moderate capacity, and through considerable periods of peace." Clausewitz


Distilled, this could be interpreted as follows: Victory and an unstoppable, winning attitude are generated by winning games, often the big ones, repeatedly and across multiple seasons. This combined with ceaseless, specific and realistic training creates a culture of resiliency that is embraced not only by next year's guys, but those to follow for several years. It becomes an institutional memory/zen that propels an organization into the next campaign and to strive valiantly and on balance successfully, in the big games as they arise.


-Winning and raising the bar on the training field in between seasons equals a better chance at winning.-



It would follow that there is no off-season so-to-speak, but rather an "opportunity season". Between now and the first whistle of Fall Ball, there is an opportunity to "get better" across the full spectrum of program/team/individual building.



Start with these three question: Who are we? Where do we want to go? How are we going to get there? Your answers, unique to your situation, will form the hubris of your Strategy.




More to follow:

Thursday, December 10, 2015

2016 AA Alignment

AA Varsity Alignment

The BCSSFA executive met last night and based on tiering numbers et al, the following things have occurred:

Carson Graham and Mission are moving to AAA ball.    Seaquam is moving to AA ball.  Moscrop and Rick Hanson are moving to Tier 2.


The divisional alignment will be as follows for 2016

East

1. Abbottsford Collegiate
2. G.W. Graham
3. Holy Cross
4. Langley
5. Pitt Meadows
6. Robert Bateman

West

1. John Barsby
2. Ballenas
3. Nanaimo District
4. Windsor
5. Hugh Boyd
6. Frank Hurt
7. Seaquam

Interior

1. Vernon
2. South Kamloops
3. Westsyde
4. Valleyview
5. Clarence Fulton

North

1. Prince George
2. Duchess Park
3. Kelley Road
4. College Heights
5. D.P. Todd
6. Nechako Valley
7. Correlieu

League Schedules should be out in two weeks.

Sunday, December 6, 2015

Carson Graham BC Champs!

Carson Graham Eagles Are The 2015 BC Champions!

Congratulations to The Carson Graham Players, Coaches and Supporters on your Subway Bowl Victory!   

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

AA Varsity BC Championship Game!

2015 Subway Bowl

VS


GI's Pick

Abbottsford Panthers vs Carson Graham Eagles:  Fifteen short weeks ago I have to admit, I did not see this one coming.  At the start of the playoff tournament, this would not have been my pick either. There is surely a reason why the games are played however and two very deserving teams are squaring off for the 2015 BC Championship!  Lets get down to the analysis: Defensively, the biggest similarity between these two teams is that they attack, attack, attack.  One or more blitzes are constantly being dialed-up by the respective defensive coordinators.  Pressure is the game here.  The offenses however are very different.  Yes, both spread the field and both tend to throw the ball a lot.  The run games are very different however.  Carson runs the ball from sideline to sideline and though Abbey will occasionally run a bit of jet sweep, it is not the same East-West threat of the Eagle attack. The Panthers seem to prefer their draw game and a bit of counter to the wider stuff (which looked pretty sloppy early on vs Langley).  Soooo, how does this play out against the attacking defenses? Well, in terms of the run game, both defenses become more vulnerable.  Blitz vs Abbey and get walled out by one of their enormous (and talented) linemen and you will be paying for it by creating a big lane for the draw.  You are never 100% right when you blitz, it is a calculated risk and sometimes that means a big play either way.  If you are Abbey blitzing against Carson, beware the inside pressures.  Carson has a very good perimeter game that gets there quickly and you can get caught in very bad inside-out pursuit situations and their resultant big plays. Run game in my opinion, Carson.  The pass game goes to Abbey.  They have been unrivaled this year via the air and stubbornly and effectively are not deterred.  Carson's defensive heat mean's man coverage.  The poison Abbey opponents have faced this year is "do ya cover 21  with two guys (only really carried off once vs G.W. Graham) and man-up or quasi zone vs the rest of the cast".  Big problem as Langley found out was that the supporting cast is pretty darn exceptional themselves and can create big plays with great regularity.  Abbey's QB mobility may seem an Achilles heel for their offense, but in practice, it has not been.  The release is quick and the routes are so well timed that it is barely an issue.  Blitzing the Panthers means a lot of man coverage and vulnerability to draw/screen. Carson, throws pretty darn good too and is the better screen team in my opinion.  Abbey will be challenged. Do these teams base-up defensively and go manno et manno against one another?  Hec no they don't.  They are what they are and will be coming at one another all game long.  Special Teams: Carson looks like they work at it more than Abbey.  The Abbey field goal kicker has more range and the Eagles likely won't kick deep to 21.  Punts and pressures are roughly the same.  Carson's edge in terms of field position gained may be nullified by kicking short and punting out of bounds.  What's left?  "Want-to"?  Nope, both teams want this one as much as the other.  Toughness?   Nope, both are tough.  What then?  I am going to take a stab at durability.  Yep, I saw a lot of tape on ankles up front, lots of limping and some injury subs in the past couple games up front.  The "trenches" will be decisive in the second half.  How each team handles adversity and or the potential loss of one of their stud offensive/defensive two way players will be big.  Lastly, emotion.  Keeping emotions "In The Middle" as opposed to losing one's mind individually and collectively will be big in a game such as this. Seem em both up close, there is a difference here that I will keep to myself.  I want to congratulate both teams, their rosters, coaching staffs and all those who come out to support on a couple of very fine seasons.  AA  Ball will be represented well on Saturday. GI's Pick: Abbey.  By how much? Well, the players on the field will determine that outcome.